‘Thursday Night Football’ Betting Preview: Houston Texans at New York Jets

Houston Texans wide receivers Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs have combined this season for more than 1,000 yards receiving. Their total of 1,063 yards is 52.1% of all of the passing yards for the Texans in 2024. But Collins and Diggs are now on injured reserve, and Diggs will not return this season. He tore his ACL on Sunday in Houston’s win over the Indianapolis Colts.

No Diggs and no Collins for what is expected to be at least one more week, and suddenly Houston’s Thursday night game at the last-place New York Jets is a challenge for the first-place Texans.

Game Line: Jets (-1.5)

For the fifth time this season, we are getting the Jets in prime time. We’ll get a sixth primetime Jets game in Week 11, and if you count their London game, all told we are getting the Jets on national television seven times.

Is this the week they live up to the league office’s expectations and warrant all of the eyes of America? Bookmakers think it is, and they have made the Jets the favorites at home. 

Since the Jets fired Robert Saleh, they have yet to win, and since they traded for Davante Adams they have yet to win. And with Aaron Rodgers under center, they have won just three of his nine starts, and that includes last year, when he gets credit for a win after leaving on the game’s fourth play.

Houston, at 6-2, comes into the game quite injured. But making the Jets the favorite at 2-6 seems curious.

Quarterback Proposition Bets

Aaron Rodgers is a first-ballot Hall of Famer. But is he still a Hall of Fame-caliber quarterback at this stage of his career? Through eight games, the answer is a pretty clear “No.” Rodgers has seven interceptions, and that puts him on pace to set a career high. His completion percentage of 61.6% is the second-worst of his career.

Rodgers is no longer the Rodgers of old, but he can still win you money. His over/under on passing yards Thursday is 233.5, and he has gone over that total in four games this season, and in three of his last four. The touchdown line on Rodgers is 1.5, and the under on that number pays -150.

C.J. Stroud is losing weapons weekly, and the Jets pass defense is good. His over/under on passing yards is 225.5, and the expectations on his passing touchdowns is even lower than Rodgers. If Stroud goes under 1.5 passing touchdowns, the payout is -205. Stroud’s rushing yards over/under is 8.5.

Running Back Proposition Bets

With the injuries to their wide receiver room, the Texans are expected to lean on their running game. That means a steady diet of Joe Mixon, who has an over/under on rushing yards of 81.5. He also has the shortest odds of the touchdown scorers, paying -145 on an anytime touchdown and +425 to score the game’s first touchdown. His receiving yards line is 24.5.

The Jets have Breece Hall at 66.5 rushing yards and rookie Braelon Allen at 20.5. Hall’s receiving yards over/under is 32.5, and he is -130 to score a touchdown. As the first touchdown scorer, he pays +450. Allen is +320 for an anytime touchdown.

Pass Catcher Proposition Bets

Tank Dell has been the guy for Houston in the past. Last season, before he broke his leg, he had games of 145 yards, 114 yards, and 149 yards. He also caught seven touchdowns in 10 games. He has yet to have the same impact in 2024, but he is now WR1 again. His over/under on receiving yards on Thursday night is 57.5, which would be his second-highest total of the season.

Dell is +180 to score a touchdown, with tight end Dalton Schultz paying +290 if he gets into the end zone. Schultz’s receiving yards line is 42.5.

The Jets do not have a shortage of wide receivers. Davante Adams has an over/under of 56.5 receiving yards, Garrett Wilson is at 62.5, and tight end Tyler Conklin is at 23.5. Adams is +140 to find the end zone, Wilson is paying +170 as an anytime touchdown scorer, and Conklin is at +390. Behind Mixon and Hall, Adams is third as the first touchdown scorer of the game, paying +750.

Adams has yet to score a touchdown as a New York Jet.

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