PGA Tour: WM Phoenix Open Betting Preview

Last week at Pebble Beach, most of the world’s top-ranked golfers were in attendance, and as expected, it was some of the best golf of the young season. Rory McIlroy made his season debut on the PGA Tour, and won with a final-round six-under par to finish the tournament at an impressive 21-under par. It was McIlroy’s 27th PGA Tour win, but his first at Pebble Beach, a place he called a “cathedral of golf.”

We also saw the No. 1-ranked player in the world, Scottie Scheffler, for the first time in 2025, and he finished ninth overall, closing with a final-round 67 and enjoying all that Pebble Beach has to offer. More important than his top 10 finish was that he appeared to be completely healed from the hand injury and minor surgery he suffered in December.

McIlroy is taking the week off as he gets ready for the Genesis Invitational, February 13 to 16. But Scheffler is back in action this week at the WM Phoenix Open, along with 14 other players ranked in the top 30 in the world.

Odds to Win WM Phoenix Open

Scottie Scheffler (+280)

You can find much better odds by betting on someone other than Scottie Scheffler, but why would you? Scheffler was the winner here in 2022 and 2023, and in his last four trips to the Phoenix Open, he has been beaten by a total of eight golfers. 

Scheffler is healthy. Last week, he shook off the rust from his long layoff, and looked great doing it, and he is once again ready to dominate the Tour.

Justin Thomas (+1200)

Acknowledging that Scheffler doesn’t always win in Phoenix – he finished T3 last year – Justin Thomas is the next-safest bet. He finished T48 last week at Pebble Beach, but he was mostly done in by one bad and windy third round. In Phoenix, where the weather is far more predictable, so is Thomas. In his last seven starts here, he has four top 10 finishes (three in the top five), and his worst finish was a T17 in 2018.

Hideki Matsuyama (+1600)

When Hideki Matsuyama first started playing the Phoenix Open, he was the best player on the course. He finished in the top five in each of his first four starts, and won the event twice. In more recent years, he struggled, finishing T29 and T22 in 2023 and 2024. But he was T8 in 2022, and let’s not forget that he won The Sentry just a month ago with a record-breaking score.

Sungjae Im (+2200)

Sungjae Im has twice finished in the top five in 2025, and in his five career starts in Phoenix, he has a pair of top 10 finishes. A year ago, he hit the skids in the third round and finished T66. But in 2023, he was eight to 10 shots better, and finished T6 with an 11-under par.

Sam Burns (+2500)

The more Sam Burns plays at the Phoenix Open, the better he gets. In 2019 and 2020, he missed the cut. In 2021, he was T22, then missed the cut again in 2022. But in 2023, he finished T6, and a year ago, led by a terrific 64 on the final 18 holes, he finished T3. He also had a T8 finish at The Sentry a month ago.

Tom Kim (+3000)

Tom Kim has only played Phoenix twice, but last year, he recovered from an opening round 3-over 74 to finish the tournament with a T17. He’s also coming off a T7 last week at Pebble Beach.

Sepp Straka (+4000)

Sepp Straka won The American Express last month and was T7 with Tom Kim last week at Pebble Beach, even as he was playing with the flu. He hasn’t played the WM Phoenix Open since 2022, when he finished 66th.

Sahith Theegala (+4000)

In his first career start at the WM Phoenix Open in 2022, Sahith Theegala finished T3. Proving it wasn’t a fluke, last year he finished in fifth. He’s not off to a great start in 2025, with a season best T36 at The Sentry and a T53 at Pebble Beach. But he has confidence in Phoenix.

Corey Conners (+4000)

Corey Conners was T5 to begin the year at The Sentry, and has been struggling since. He missed the cut at the Sony Open and was T65 at Pebble Beach. Last year at the Phoenix Open, he was T28.

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